Wednesday 08/12/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Wednesday 08/12/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.
 
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MLB
Write-up


Wednesday, August 12

Hot Pitchers
-- Lincecum is 2-0, 1.88 in his last three starts.
-- Marlins won last four Nolasco starts (2-0, 1.65). Norris is 2-0, 1.38 in his two major league starts.
-- Lowe is 4-0, 2.97 in his last six starts.
-- Carpenter is 6-0, 2.04 in his last seen starts.
-- Jimenez is 3-0, 3.44 in his last five starts. Hart is 3-0, 3.52 in his last four starts.

-- Burnett is 5-1, 2.91 in his last eight starts. Toronto won five of last six Romero road starts.
-- Rays won 12 of last 15 Niemann starts.
-- Hunter is 4-1, 2.73 in his last six starts. Indians won both Carmona starts (0-0, 2.45) since he came back from a stint in the minors.
-- Beckett is 2-0, 1.81 in his last three starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Garland is 1-2, 4.76 in his last five starts. Perez is 0-1, 4.45 in his last five starts.
-- Weaver has 4.24 RA in five starts (23.1 IP).
-- Stammen is 0-1, 16.40 in his last three starts.
-- Martinez makes first start for Phillies; he was 1-1, 5.11 in three minor league outings-- he was 5-6, 5.61 in 20 starts for the Mets last season. Samardzija was 5-3, 3.72 in 12 starts at AAA; this is his first start in the major leagues.
-- Villanueva us 0-2, 5.79 in three starts this season. Correia has a 7.29 RA in his last four road starts.
-- Bailey is 1-3, 9.79 in his last five starts.

-- Orioles lost 11 of Berken's last 13 starts. Mazzaro is 1-8, 7.85 in his last eleven starts.
-- Bell was 3-4, 3.15 in his 11 starts at AAA level.
-- Galarraga is 1-3, 6.10 in his last five starts.
-- Bannister is 1-1, 5.65 in his last five starts. Liriano is 0-3, 6.91 in his last five starts.
-- Buehrle is 0-3, 8.84 since pitching his perfect game. Hernandez is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won their last five games, scoring 38 runs.
-- Nationals won eight of their last nine games. Braves are 12-3 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Cardinals won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Padres won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Colorado won eight of its last twelve games.
-- Diamondbacks won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Dodgers spanked Giants in first two games of this series, 4-2/9-1.

-- Indians won seven of their last nine games.
-- Bronx Bombers are 19-6 since the All-Star break.
-- A's won six of their last nine games.
-- Angels are 11-4 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Seattle won five of its last seven home games.

Cold Teams
-- Astros are 5-11 in their last sixteen games.
-- Reds lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Cubs lost five of their last six games. Phillies lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Pirates lost 17 of their last 21 road games.
-- Brewers are 5-10 in their last 15 home games.
-- Mets lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Giants lost four of their last five games.

-- Rangers are 6-9 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Toronto lost 15 of its last 21 road games.
-- Orioles lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last eight games, but won last two. Tigers are 2-11 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Royals lost five of their last seven road games. Twins lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Florida games went over the total.
-- 12 of last 14 Washington road games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Phillies' last nine road games.
-- Eight of Brewers' last nine home games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3-2 in last fourteen Cincinnati games.
-- Under is 4-0-2 in Pirates' last six away games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Arizona's last seven home games.
-- Six of Dodgers' last nine road games stayed under the total.

-- Over is 11-4-1 in last sixteen Cleveland games.
-- Nine of last ten Oakland road games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-2 in last ten Toronto games.
-- Last six games at Fenway Park all went over the total.
-- Under is 14-7-2 in Royals' last 23 road games.
-- Over is 16-4-1 in Angels' last 21 games.
-- Eight of White Sox' last nine road games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- NY-Az-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Everitt games.
-- LA-SF-- Under is 10-4 in Emmel's last 14 games behind plate.
-- Hst-Fla-- Eight of last nine Joyce games stayed under the total.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Eight of last eleven Holbrook games stayed under total.
-- Phil-Chi-- Four of last five Meals games stayed under the total.
-- SD-Mil-- Road team won eight of last 11 Wendelstedt games.
-- Cin-StL-- Five of last seven Fairchild games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-Colo-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Guccione games.

-- Tor-NY-- Underdog is 12-9 in last 21 West games.
-- A's-Balt-- Last seven Barrett games stayed under the total.
-- TB-LA-- Underdog is 14-9 in Reilly games this season.
-- Tex-Clev-- Five of last seven Drake games went over the total.
-- Det-Bos-- Over is 11-5-2 in Crawford games this season.
-- KC-Min-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Hoye games.
-- Chi-Sea-- All three Moser games this season stayed under total.
 
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Trend Report

1:05 PM
TORONTO vs. NY YANKEES
Toronto is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games
NY Yankees are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games at home

1:35 PM
OAKLAND vs. BALTIMORE
Oakland is 14-3-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Oakland is 6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games
Baltimore is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Baltimore is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:35 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. LA ANGELS
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Tampa Bay is 1-12 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
LA Angels are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games at home

3:40 PM
NY METS vs. ARIZONA
NY Mets are 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Arizona
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets

3:45 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. CLEVELAND
No trends available
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
DETROIT vs. BOSTON
Detroit is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Detroit is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Boston is 8-3-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. FLORIDA
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home

8:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHI CUBS
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games

8:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

8:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ST. LOUIS
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
St. Louis is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

8:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. COLORADO
Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Colorado is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

10:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
Chi White Sox are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Seattle
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox (-230, 9)

Detroit manager Jim Leyland sometimes comes off as a crotchety old fart.

And it’s not just because he looks like an unmasked bad guy from Scooby Doo. Leyland is legendary for his tirades. His most recent grumblings came after the Tigers bullpen allowed the Boston Red Sox to steal a 6-5 win Monday.

Relievers Fu-Te Ni and Zach Miner allowed two runs including a home run after starter Edwin Jackson struggled to get out of the blocks in the series opener. This past weekend, Detroit’s bullpen gave up a total of 12 runs in three games against the Minnesota Twins. The Tigers managed to win 2-of-3 contest but nearly blew those victories late in the game.

"Those guys have to do a job," Leyland told the Detroit News. "You can't use Lyon, Seay and Fernando Rodney every night. It just doesn't work like that.”

All three of those weekend tilts played over the oddsmakers’ total as well as Monday’s opener with the Red Sox. The Tigers have an over/under mark of 8-2 in August and a hefty team ERA over 6.00.

Pick: Over 9


Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels (+107, 10.5)

Just like the A-Team, the Los Angeles Angels love it when a plan comes together.

The pieces are falling in place for the Halos, who appear ready for a late-season push which would put them in full stride for the postseason. The first sign of this cohesion is the red-hot bat of designated hitter Vladimir Guerrero.

Guerrero knocked two home runs out of Angel Stadium against the Rays Monday and has hit four dingers in his last five games heading into Tuesday. For August, the free-swinging veteran is batting over .300 and is almost fully recovered from a laundry list of ailments.

“He’s made a career out of hitting pitchers’ pitches and balls off the plate, and he does damage with them,” Rays reliever Russ Springer, who gave up Guerrero’s second home run, told the media. “I threw the ball where I wanted to throw it and he hit the right field foul pole with it.

“I’ve never faced in my career a guy that covers as much of an area that he does … When he’s locked in, he has a big area that he can make contact with.”

Adding to the Angels’ growing momentum is improved production from the bottom of the order, continued power from Kendry Morales and the probable return of Torii Hunter this weekend.

Pick: Los Angeles +107
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Josh Beckett (Boston Red Sox)

The right-hander has eight outings this season in which he has not allowed an earned run, including his last two and five of his last nine starts.

Beckett has a string of 14 consecutive scoreless innings, giving up 10 hits and four walks while striking out 12 batters. He had strings of 18 2-3 and 16 scoreless innings in June.

Beckett has not lost at Fenway Park this season.

Bud Norris (Houston Astros)

While other established pitchers such as A.J. Burnett and Ricky Nolasco are in nice grooves, this rookie right-hander is off to a solid start.

Norris has surrendered just eight hits and struck out 12 batters in 13 innings in his two starts, both of which were wins. He has had a little trouble with control and needed 105 pitches to get through six innings his last time out.

Norris walked 53 hitters in 120 innings at Triple-A Round Rock, where he had a 2.63 ERA. He has lasted six innings in his last 12 starts at both levels.


Debuting

Jeff Samardzija (Chicago Cubs)

Yeah, we know about the guy Samardzija is facing. But the former Notre Dame football standout is making his first major league start.

A 6-foot-5 righty, Samardzija has made 42 relief appearances over his first two seasons. He was sharper as a rookie last year, beginning this season in the minor leagues.

The Cubs have tried to stretch out Samardzija with three outings of at least three innings, including a four-innings stint in his last appearance August 7. He was scored on in all three of those outings.

Trevor Bell (Los Angeles Angels)

The 22-year-old right-hander is making his major league debut, taking the rotation spot of Joe Saunders, who went on the DL with shoulder tightness.

"Trevor's shown the command and stuff that we hope he can do at least, or maybe more, than some guys (on the club) who are options," Angels manager Mike Scioscia told the Los Angeles Times, adding that Bell would get more than one start.

Bell should be ready. He was 4-3 with a 2.23 ERA in 11 starts for Double-A Arkansas and 3-4 with two shutouts and a 3.15 ERA for Triple-A Salt Lake in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League. He is not a strikeout pitcher, collecting just 89 K's in 140 innings.


Slumping

Mark Buehrle (Chicago White Sox)

Mr. Perfect?

Really?

Yes, really.

The left-hander has been awful since his masterpiece against Tampa Bay. In his last three starts, he has been pounded for 17 runs and 28 hits in just 18 1-3 innings, taking three straight losses.

Not a big strikeout pitcher, Buehrle had six in his perfect game. He has had five since.
 
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Vernon Croy

MLB | Aug 12
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Toronto Blue Jays
+210 at BETUS > 6h.
1* Take the Toronto Blue Jays on the Moneyline, The Blue Jays should have closed out the game last night leading 4-3 in the 8th but their bullpen blew it for them. The Jays have a better pitcher on the mound this afternoon than they did last night and Ricky Romero (10-5, 3.66) has pitched solid on the road this season with an ERA of just 3.69 over 9 starts. Romero has lasted an average of 6.8 innings per start on the road this season and he already beat the Yankees in New York back on July.6 where he allowed 7 hits and 3 earned runs over 6.3 innings. The Jays are a perfect 5-0 in Romero's last 5 starts as an underdog and they are also 8-2 in Romero's last 10 starts when pitching with 4 days rest. The Jays are one of the better hitting team on the road this season hitting .280 as a team and there is simply just too much value to pass up Wednesday afternoon. Take the Toronto Blue Jays as my MLB Bonus Play for Wednesday afternoon.
 
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Ross Benjamin

MLB | Aug 12
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Total
7½ ov+100 at BOOKM > 15h.
This is a total the general public will in all likelihood stay away from. Since the novice bettors love to play the over they are sure to be scared away with both teams aces taking the hill. However since Mark Buehrle tossed his no hitter he has struggled in the 3 starts since. In those 3 outings Buehrle has posted a very lofty 8.35 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP. The Seattle starter Felix Hernandez has been shaky in his last 3 starts posting a 5.79 ERA and 1.77 WHIP. Hernandez has an ERA of 2.09 higher at home than on the road in 2009. Seattle has gone over the total in 7 of their last 8 games. The White Sox have gone under in just 3 of the last 11. Play on this game to go over the total as my free selection of the night.
 
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Jim Feist

(967) TORONTO BLUE JAYS
(968) NEW YORK YANKEES
Take "(967) TORONTO BLUE JAYS"

Toronto has had a nice run, taking two in a row from the Orioles before upsetting the Yankees in Game 1 of this series. Lefty Ricky Romero has been very good all season, at 10-5 with a 3.66 ERA. He's already beaten the Yankees once this season, allowing 3 runs in 6+ innings, and the team is 7-3 his last 10 starts. A.J. Burnett is just 1-1 against his old team this season, with a 4.30 ERA. The visitors are a very live dog. Play the Blue Jays.
 
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Dave Cokin

(959) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
(960) CHICAGO CUBS
Take "(959) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES"

I had the Phillies for my 10 Star play on Tuesday and they came through with the victory. Pedro Martinez makes his anticipated return here and he draws Jeff Samardzija as an opponent. I have to give Pedro the edge on the mound and with the streaky Phillies finally back in the win column, look for them to get the job done again today.
 

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yanks if u could post joe wiz Bonus Plays when you come across it i would definitely appreciate it thx
 

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Jimmy The Moose

Rays -122

Both the Rays and Angels were in the playoffs last season and both have their eyes set on making the dance this year. At the start of the season you wouldn't have been called crazy if you predicted both teams to make the playoffs and battle it out for the right to represent the American League in the World Series.

That can still happen but right now they are both battling to make the playoffs.
The Rays are 61-51, a very solid record, but since they play in the AL East that record is only good enough for third place. Tampa currently sits 8.5 games behind the Yankees and their best bet at making the postseason is the AL Wild Card. The Rays are 2.5 games behind the Red Sox for the Wild Card.

This afternoon the Rays send Jeff Niemann to the mound; on the year he's 10-5 and the Rays are a money-making 14-6 in his 20 starts. The Rays have won 12 of his last 15 starts overall and nine of his last 12 road starts. Niemann has been a pleasant surprise and a big reason why the Rays are still in contention.

The Angels always seem to make the playoffs but this season's injuries have hurt them though not too much if you look at the standings. LA has a 66-44 record good enough for the division lead in the AL West. Last year the Angels had their division locked by the start of the second half but this season it's more of a battle. The Angels are 4.5 games up on the Texas Rangers who are playing very well this season.

The Angels find themselves the underdog in this one because they are sending a rookie pitcher to the mound. The Angels have several good trends behind them to justify taking them but this afternoon the pitching edge has to go to the Rays and that's why they'll take this one.

Play on Tampa Bay.
 

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Al McMordie

White Sox-Mariners Over 7½ (+105)

Our Wednesday night selection is on the Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners going over the total at Safeco Field.

Call it the "Jinx of Perfection." Since Chicago's ace Mark Buehrle pitched the 18th perfect game in Major League history on July 23, the veteran southpaw has gone 0-3 with an 8.35 ERA and he also lost back-to-back home starts for the first time since September of 2006.

In a move that the Sox hope will produce some runs and boost their offensive output, Chicago claimed Alex Rios off of waivers from the Blue Jays and, in doing so, will assume his huge contract. But the Sox front office thinks this waiver claim is not only worth the money it will have to spend, but necessary if they are to keep pace with the higher-powered offense of the Tigers.

Like Buehrle, Seattle's righthander Felix Hernandez had been cruising along in June and July but has all of the sudden run into some trouble in his last three starts, going 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP over 18 2/3 innings. In two August starts, Hernandez – who normally has excellent control – walked 10 batters in 13 innings and he was very lucky to get through his last start against Tampa Bay only surrendering three earned runs in six sub-par innings of work. Perhaps the high innings and pitch counts (he threw 113 pitches in the Tampa game) are finally starting to catch up to King Felix.

Heading into tonight, the Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings of these two clubs.


Take the Over.
 

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Scott rickenback anyone? He's been on fire 25-6 last 31

Go ahead an jump on a hot handicapper and see how you like it when he comes back down to earth. Remember if this guy were as good as this record, we all would be playing his plays, and we are not even considering buying his plays!!!!!

Kelso Stugeon got hot last football season. Why don't we pay him big bucks and watch him lose this season? NOT!!!!!!
 

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